Anybody who has shown any interest in the news in the past few weeks can't help but have noticed that wave of protests and revolutions throughout the Middle East with Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, Bahrain, Morocco and Iran just a few of the countries to have experienced political strife. So what are the lessons which we in the West can learn from these protests and what can we expect to happen in the coming weeks?
1) We, the people, CAN make a difference if we come together in unison for a common cause. Far too often in places such as the UK protesting, whether it is against Government Policy or local planning applications, is frowned upon because it is a 'waste of time.' If enough people care about an issue and are willing to voice that opinion then things can change.
2) Like it or not the world is one large community and we are ALL going to feel the consequences of this wave in the coming days, weeks and even years ahead. As I type this Libya has suspended all Oil exports. Considering Libya accounts for just over 2% of world supply this is going to cause problems and we have already seen the price of crude spike by upwards of 6% ($5) today alone. The actions of one despot will mean another increase in inflation which I am sure Mervyn King is very happy about.....or not!
3) It is dangerous to encourage reform by revolution. In many of these countries, such as Egypt, there is a real danger of a power vacuum being created and we have no idea who is going to step into the breach. Protests are continuing in Egypt despite Mr Mubarak having left because it is reform but the 'right' person has not materialised to replace him.
4) We must remember that the original spark for all this was a young person in Tunisia who was frustrated by the lack of opportunities in his homeland. Despite having a University education he was unable to find work and was barely scraping by. Is this really that much different to the situation in the UK today? Lets look at the facts
- We are sending far too many youngsters to University - having a target of 50% is simply stupid. We should go back to the time when only the best and brightest would go to Uni and not a system where it is a right of passage (and an expensive one at that)
- The UK job market isn't very good. It isn't simply me who cannot find gainful employment. Last week we had figures stating 20% of 16-24 year olds were unemployed. Granted it isn't as bad as places like Tunisia but we must avouid having a lost generation which we will never be able to recover from.
- People are, in my opinion, getting frustrated. When you have 30 people applying for a 1 day job and cuts dominating the home agenda people will eventually boil over and I don't want to be around when they do.